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Strategic Outlook for Energy


The annual Strategic Outlook for Energy is FGE’s core analytical report for its perspectives on future developments in oil demand, supply and prices to 2050.

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Overview

The annual Strategic Outlook for Energy is FGE’s core analytical report for its perspectives on future developments in oil demand, supply and prices to 2050. The methodology continues to be based around an internally consistent, bottom-up forecast of regional demand by product and sector, crude oil production by country, and an interaction with oil prices through to 2050.

FGE’s annual report identifies the key sensitivities and risk factors inherent in the long-term outlook for global oil markets.

This study provides and in-depth look at:

  • OPEC/non-OPEC production outlook and analysis;
  • Crude oil production costs by region and resource type;
  • Detailed demand outlook by seven products, nine end-sectors and eight regions;
  • Resulting oil market balance and price forecast.

 

Chart/Table Appendix

Key Questions Addressed in this Study

  • Will 2019 turn out to be the peak year for oil demand?
  • How will changing mobility usage, stricter fuel economy standards and vehicle electrification shape the future for road transport fuels?
  • Will global jet fuel demand ever recover fully again?
  • Can OPEC+ stay the course despite its huge amount of production capacity in hand?
  • What will the global crude slate look like if and when the world sees an end to US tight oil growth?
  • How are climate change policies and emission reduction targets going to shape oil consumption and what opportunities will this provide for the oil industry?
  • How will plastic recycling and bans affect petrochemical demand during the next decades?
  • How will non-OPEC supply respond as investment is redirected towards ESG (Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance) spend?

Scope of Coverage

  • Products
    • Crude Oil
    • LPG
    • Jet/Kerosene
    • Fuel Oil
    • Other (including ethane, petcoke, bitumen, lubricants, etc.)
    • NGLs
    • Naphtha
    • Gasoil/Diesel
    • Gasoline
    • Biofuels
  • Regions
    • North America
    • OECD Asia
    • Africa
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • FSU
    • Latin America
    • Non-OECD Asia
  • Sectors
    • Power
    • Industry
    • Residential and Commercial
    • Own Use
    • Other
    • Petrochemical
    • Transport
    • Agriculture
    • Marine bunkers
  • Deliverables
    • PDF copy of the report (PowerPoint layout).
    • An interactive session with FGE consultants, either in FGE’s London office or via WebEx/video conferencing facilities.
    • Extensive supplementary excel data sets.
    • A PowerPoint Executive Presentation Pack, with key charts and conclusions.

This Study will Add Value to

  • Major Oil Companies That need an outside, independent assessment of market developments to compare with their own, internal forecasts.
  • National Oil Companies Potential developments in crude oil prices are a critical element in planning and the particular approach to price forecasting in this report will provide new perspectives on price formation and potential trends in the future.
  • Other Oil and Service Companies Any company operating in the sector should benefit from an internally consistent and detailed assessment of potential developments in the market as an alternative to reliance on forecasts from government or international organizations.
  • International/Governmental Organization Who need an independent, non-political perspective on the international oil market and an understanding of key elements likely to drive future oil prices.
  • Independent Refiners Demand-side developments outside their own operating region can have significant implications for refiners’ operating environment and the detailed supply-side projections could highlight potential new sources of supply.
  • Oil Shipping Companies The report provides a detailed framework covering the key elements driving their business in the long term.
  • Financial Institutions and Investment Funds Whether investing or trading, this report will provide a comprehensive basis for assessing risks, particularly in the near/mid-term, as well as delivering a flexible and detailed database of future demand and supply parameters.
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