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Latest Analysis / Short-term Global Oil Service

Weekly Fundamentals - Crude prices increase due to US/Iran deal uncertainty, though likelihood of agreement has increased today

Published: 27 May, 2021

Highlights:

  • ICE Brent M1/M12 backwardation increases w-o-w; further upside will emerge if a US/Iran deal is reached
  • Brent/Dubai EFS facing headwinds from product markets and weak Brent spreads
  • WTI/Brent to narrow further – but temporary downwards pressure will return in 3Q21
  • Urals discounts not seen ...

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