The Outlook for Oil: A Guide for Strategic Planning

IMO 2020
- Stormy Seas: IMO 2020 Update
- Preparing for IMO 2020 and The Future of Bunkering: Strategic Implications
Oil & Products
- Oil Online Data Service (ODS)
  FGE's Online Data Service (ODS) allows clients to flexibly query FGE's proprietary supply and demand data for crude and refined products at a country or regional level, allowing you to identify potential pressure points and regional flows.
- Oil Research & Analysis
- Oil Training Programs
Gas/LNG
- LNG Online Data Service (ODS)
  FGE's LNG Online Data Service (ODS) allows clients to flexibly query FGE's proprietary data, enhancing your ability to make strategic decisions adn identify opportunities across the global LNG value chain.
- Short-Term Gas/LNG Research & Analysis
- Long-Term Gas/LNG Research & Analysis
- Gas/LNG Training Programs
NGLs
- LPG Forecast 2019
  FGE’s annual LPG Forecast is a comprehensive assessment of the global LPG market, divided into two main geographical areas, East and West of Suez.
- NGL Consulting
  With more than 30 years of experience delivering client tailored consulting, it is our ability to provide transparency to often opaque markets and advice on how to position yourself in the energy markets, that truly sets FGE ahead of the competition.
- NGLs Research & Analysis
- NGLs Multi-Client Studies
  - LPG Forecast 2019
  - Condensate Forecast to 2025
- NGLs Training Programs
  - In-House Training Programs
  - On-The-Job Training
- FGE NGLs Events/Briefings
  - Middle East Petroleum Insiders (MPI)
  - 29th Pacific Petroleum Insiders (PPI) 2019
Data
- Price Forecast Data
  FGE has been providing consistently accurate and reliable crude, oil products and LNG price forecasts to an array of clients for many years, including national oil and gas companies, traders and financial companies.
- NGLs Data
  FGE's coverage of the NGLs market spans the full breadth of the value chain, from supply, demand, pricing, balances, trade flows, and more, helping clients better understand which way the market is heading.
- Crude Oil Data
  When it comes to delivering reliable and accurate data on the crude oil market, FGE is a the forefront of providing clients with detailed short and long-term data spanning crude supply, demand, inventories, trade flows, etc.
- Gas/LNG Data
  FGE's Gas/LNG data services allow clients to flexibly query our very own proprietary data, enhancing their ability to make strategic decisions and identify opportunities across the global Gas/LNG value chain.
- Refining Data
  For many years, FGE's leading independent analytics and forecasts of the oil markets has benefited a wide variety of clients across the globe. Our coverage of the refining industry is underpinned by in-house models and over five decades of refining expertise.
- Refined Products Data
  FGE's coverage of the refined products market enables clients to evaluate the short- and long-term refined products markets, with particular emphasis on products supply/demand/balances, products trade, inventories and stocks, and pricing.
Company
- Executive Committee
  - Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki
    
    Chairman, FGE
  - Mr. Shasha Fesharaki
    
    Executive Vice Chairman and Managing Director, FGE USA
  - Dr. Jeff Brown
    
    President, FGE
  - Dr. Tomoko Hosoe
    
    Managing Director, FGE Japan
  - Ms. Alexis Aik
    
    Managing Director, Global Gas/LNG Team
  - Dr. Iman Nasseri
    
    Managing Director, Middle East, FGE London
  - Mr. Michael Barry
    
    Director of Research, FGE London
  - Mr. Robert Clayton
    
    Chief Operating Officer (COO), FGE London
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The Outlook for Oil: A Guide for Strategic Planning

The annual Outlook for Oil is FGE’s core analytical block for its perspectives on future developments in oil demand, supply and prices to 2040.

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Overview

The annual Strategic Oil Market Outlook is FGE’s core analytical block for its perspectives on future developments in oil demand, supply and prices to 2040. The methodology continues to be based around an internally consistent, bottom-up forecast of regional demand by product and sector, crude oil production by country, and an interaction with oil prices through to 2040.

FGE’s annual report identifies the key sensitivities and risk factors inherent in the long-term outlook for global oil markets.

This study provides and in-depth look at:

OPEC/non-OPEC production outlook and analysis;
Crude oil production costs by region and resource type;
Detailed demand outlook by 7 products, 9 end-sectors and 8 regions;
Resulting oil market balance and price forecast.

Additional Sub-sets

FGE’s Strategic Outlook for Oil is available as a standalone study (incl. overall supply by country/demand by sector and region/market balance and price outlook). In addition, this study can be purchased alongside one, or several, of our latest sub-sets (discounts available for grouped purchases); which explore in more detail the road transport and electric vehicle outlook, the tight oil product cost outlook, and the outlook for bunker fuel in the wake of IMO 2020:

Road Transport and Electric Vehicle Outlook (incl. detailed fleet by fuel and road fuel demand breakdown by region);
Tight Oil and Production Cost Outlook (incl. detailed production cost and volume outlook by country).
Preparing for IMO 2020 and the Future of Bunkering: Strategic Implications

Key Questions Addressed in this Study

Has the “call on OPEC crude” peaked?
What will the global crude slate look like come 2020 with the impact of the IMO bunker fuel spec change?
Are recent tight oil productivity gains sustainable?
West Africa OPEC losing its foot-hold to non-OPEC alternatives
What are the sensitivities around and key drivers of oil demand in the future?

What is the potential loss in petrochemical oil demand from plastics recycling and bans?
After IMO2020 comes IMO2050: Shipping industry’s struggle to go carbon-free
How are climate change policies going to shape oil consumption and industry?
How will changing mobility, stricter fuel economy standards and electrification shape the future for road transport fuels?

Scope of Coverage

Products
- Crude Oil
- LPG
- Jet/Kerosene
- Fuel Oil
- Naphtha
- Gasoil/Diesel
- Gasoline
Sectors
- Power
- Industry
- Residential and Commercial
- Own Use
- Other
- Petrochemical
- Transport
- Agriculture
- Marine bunkers
Deliverables
- PDF copy of the report (PowerPoint layout).
- Extensive supplementary excel data sets.
- An interactive session with FGE consultants, either in FGE’s London office or via WebEx/video conferencing facilities.
- A PowerPoint Executive Presentation Pack, with key charts and conclusions.

This Study will Add Value to

Major Oil Companies Who need an outside, independent assessment of market developments to compare with their own, internal forecasts.
National Oil Companies Potential developments in crude oil prices are a critical element in planning and the particular approach to price forecasting in this report will provide new perspectives on price formation and potential trends in the future.
Other Oil and Service Companies Any company operating in the sector should benefit from an internally consistent and detailed assessment of potential developments in the market as an alternative to reliance on forecasts from government or international organizations.
International/Governmental Organization Who need an independent, non-political perspective on the international oil market and an understanding of key elements likely to drive future oil prices.

Independent Refiners Demand-side developments outside their own operating region can have significant implications for refiners’ operating environment and the detailed supply-side projections could highlight potential new sources of supply.
Oil Shipping Companies The report provides a detailed framework covering the key elements driving their business in the long term.
Financial Institutions and Investment Funds Whether investing or trading, this report will provide a comprehensive basis for assessing risks, particularly in the near/mid-term, as well as delivering a flexible and detailed database of future demand and supply parameters.

Latest FGE Multi-Client Studies

Preparing for IMO 2020 and The Future of Bunkering

FGE's detailed assessment of the impact of the IMO 2020 specification changes on the global shipping & refining industries.

World Refining Outlook 2019

A detailed assessment of the mid/long-term operating environment for global refining and the implications for oil products trade.

LPG Forecast 2019

FGE's comprehensive annual assessment of the global LPG market, divided between two geographical areas, East and West of Suez.

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