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LPG Monthly Supply, Demand & Trade Balances


Each month, FGE’s LPG Monthly Supply, Demand & Trade Balances analyses the often volatile short-term market for LPG from a global perspective.

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Overview

Each month, FGE’s LPG Monthly Supply, Demand & Trade Balances analyses the often volatile short-term market for LPG from a global perspective. In this statistical review, we track, interpret and forecast LPG supply and demand fundamentals to deliver clear, concise analysis and balances and a fundamental summary of the LPG market.

The world of LPG trading has become increasingly unpredictable and volatile since 2020. A series of unexpected events, including the global COVID-19 pandemic, Storm Uri on the US Gulf Coast in early 2021, and more recently the war in Ukraine, have impacted LPG demand, trading patterns and prices.

FGE’s LPG Supply, Demand & Trade Balances uses a country-level, bottom-up approach to develop a regional understanding of global supply and demand market dynamics. Overlaying a global trade matrix, FGE balances trade routes and import/export requirements with a comprehensive shipping assessment to provide a fully integrated supply chain model.

Our in-depth models integrate price-elastic demand factors such as steam cracking with our in-house view of price spreads and how these will affect swing cracking demand and import requirements in different markets.

On the supply side, we look at production and demand trends for each supplier in the Middle East in order to determine export volume trends. We also examine the US market in depth, using data from various sources to arrive at monthly figures for exports and domestic inventory levels.

Subscribers will thus be able to see “behind the curtain” of FGE’s monthly LPG supply, demand and trade model, which informs FGE’s short-term outlook. To help subscribers isolate any changes, we provide a PDF summary of the main changes in fundamentals month to month.

Features & Benefits

  • Leading Fundamental Analysis Up-to-date comprehensive analytics of key fundamental drivers in both Western and Eastern LPG markets.
  • Complete Data Analytics Detailed projections of the supply/demand LPG parameters and the implications in both the East and West LPG markets.
  • Complete coverage of the global LPG Markets Interpretation of trends in LPG markets by region within a global context.
  • Accurate Price Forecasts Consistent and logical forecasting of LPG fundamentals and price trends.

Deliverables

  • Implications & Summary PDF
  • File 1: North America
  • File 2: Europe
  • File 3: Middle East
  • File 4: Asia Pacific
  • File 5: Integration
  • File 6: LPG Shipping
  • Associated Excel data file
  • Up to three hours of free consultation with FGE’s NGL team per year for telephone, face-to-face, online discussions and/or email enquiries.

This Service Will Add Value To

  • Traders developing both trading and hedging strategies built on detailed fundamental research.
  • Midstream Companies formulating future policy and hedging strategies.
  • National Oil Companies undertaking research on key global trends and making strategic decisions.
  • Finance and Investment Analysts following key global LPG supply/demand analytics and price trends.
  • Importers and Petrochemicals Companies deciding on volumes of LPG procurement.
  • Shipping Companies following trends in LPG trade flows while formulating ship deployment strategies.
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